Syrians are practicing with the S-300, will they ever use it? – Report

Since the S-300 was deployed, it has been almost six months. It was supposed to not only be operational by now, but also have Syrians prepared to use it.

By SETH J. FRANTZMAN
Russian servicemen rest on top of an armoured personnel carrier (APC) as S-300 air defense missile systems launch missiles during the Keys to the Sky competition at the International Army Games 2017 at the Ashuluk shooting range outside Astrakhan, Russia August 5, 2017 (photo credit: MAXIM SHEMETOV/REUTERS)
Russian servicemen rest on top of an armoured personnel carrier (APC) as S-300 air defense missile systems launch missiles during the Keys to the Sky competition at the International Army Games 2017 at the Ashuluk shooting range outside Astrakhan, Russia August 5, 2017
(photo credit: MAXIM SHEMETOV/REUTERS)
Syrian air defense personnel are already taking an active role in the training of the S-300 batteries that were deployed from Russia last September. According to a report at Maariv, they have reached advanced stages of training in the last months.
As part of the training, the Syrian officers and soldiers are sitting “shoulder-to-shoulder” with the Russian experts. Russia sent the S-300 batteries to Syria in the wake of a downing of a Russian military plane by Syrian air defense in September. Syrian air defense mistakenly shot down the Russian plane during an Israeli air raid near Latakia. Syrian had long complained about and accused Israel of air strikes in Syria.
When the S-300 was initially deployed, the Russians noted that they would train the Syrians to use the system. Russia has its own air defense systems in Syria to protect its base in Syria’s Latakia.
Israel and Russia have held frequent discussions. In late February Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with Russian President Vladimir Putin and discussed Syria and the presence of “foreign” forces in Syria, a reference to Iran. Israel has said Iranian forces should leave Syria and threatened to continue actions against them and against weapons transfer by Iran to Hezbollah. In January, Netanyahu said Israel struck a weapons depot in Syria. On March 21, after US President Donald Trump said Washington would recognize the Golan as part of Israel, Netanyahu referenced the Iran threat to “use Syria as a platform to destroy Israel.”
For Syria, the airstrikes on its territory have been embarrassing. They are increasingly in the spotlight after Syria was able to reconquer areas near the Golan border in the summer of 2018 and as the Syrian conflict has been winding down. Russia, Turkey and Iran have held frequent discussions aimed at deescalating the conflict and this has resulted in agreements that have largely stopped the fighting. That means any airstrikes in Damascus no longer happen under the fog of war, and require Syria to claim it is responding.
However since the S-300 was deployed, it has been almost six months. It was supposed to not only be operational by now, but also have Syrians prepared to use it. According to satellite images published in February by ImageSat International, the system was clearly visible.
The Maariv report says that the Syrian teams are in various stages of training and the “question of independent operation of the air defense system is a matter for Russia to decide and not related to the operational capability of the Syrians trained to maintain the system.” The article raises several important points. It notes that the transfer to the Syrians may be reliant on the discussions between Netanyahu and Putin and the requirement that no more crises emerge in Israel-Russia relations. Also, the presence of Russian personnel next to the S-300 batteries means that they will not be used, because only when the Russians leave and the batteries might threaten Israel, would the “safety of the battery” be risked.
Therefore, Russian prestige and pride is also an important factor, as well as economic interests of Russian desire to sell the system. “The destruction of such a system can be a painful blow to the Russians, even if they are not the operators.” This is a bit of a catch-22. If Russia fully transfers the system to allow the Syrians to protect themselves, the system may be destroyed, resulting in Syrian inability to defend themselves. If Russia doesn’t transfer the system, the Syrians won’t be able to defend themselves.


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