A right-wing party led by former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett would emerge as the largest party if an election were held now, according to a Maariv survey published on Friday.
The poll suggests that Bennett’s hypothetical party would secure 21 mandates, Likud 19 and National Unity 14. If Bennett’s party aligns with the current opposition bloc, it could form a coalition with 67 MKs, leaving Netanyahu’s coalition with only 46 mandates. Notably, Bennett’s party would gain nine seats from undecided voters.
The survey also shows that Yesh Atid and Yisrael Beytenu would each receive 11 mandates, Shas, the Democrats, and Otzma Yehudit would secure 8 each, United Torah Judaism (UTJ) 7, and Hadash-Ta’al would obtain 5. The Religious Zionist Party (RZP) and Ra’am would each receive 4.
If Bennett does not form a new party, the results would be starkly different. The opposition would hold 59 seats, the coalition 51, and Hadash-Ta’al and Ra’am would split the remaining 10 mandates.
In this scenario, Likud would lead with 22 mandates, closely followed by National Unity with 21. Yisrael Beytenu would have 15, and Yesh Atid 14. Shas, Otzma Yehudit, and the Democrats would each receive 9 mandates. UTJ would secure 7, Hadash-Ta’al 6, and RZP and Ra’am would remain at 4.
This shows almost no change from previous polls. Earlier surveys gave a Bennett-led right-wing party a similar score.
One front at a time
The survey also reveals that 57% believe Israel could only manage a multi-theater war with direct US support, with just 29% confident in Israel’s ability to handle it independently.
Additionally, 47% oppose Gallant’s removal from his position, while 27% support it.
The poll was conducted by “Lazar Research,” led by Dr. Menachem Lazar, in collaboration with Panel4All.