Libya and Qatar could serve as Israel’s real entry point into the Middle East.
By MATTHEW MAINENLibya flag 311 (R)(photo credit: REUTERS/Thaier al-Sudani)
The death of Muammar Gadaffi is yet another sign that Libya and Israel could establish diplomatic relations. Last summer, Bernard Henry Levi accidentally leaked the National Transitional Council’s desire to establish ties. Then Raphael Luzon, the leader of the exiled Libyan Jewish community (and an Israeli citizen) was invited by NTC chairman Mustafa Abdul Jalil to run for office. Most recently, Haaretz quoted an NTC spokesperson, Ahmad Shabani, as speaking favorably about Israel- Libyan relations.Shabani’s decision to speak to Haaretz was most likely a calculated move by the NTC to gauge Arab public opinion, as that newspaper is widely read throughout the region. There was no protest in the Arab world.
This should not come as a surprise. The Israeli- Palestinian conflict was tenuously morphed into an Israeli-Arab conflict by despotic leaders wishing to redirect aggression and attention that would otherwise be aimed at them.This is why Bashar Assad has desperately painted the Syrian democratic uprising as an Israeli conspiracy. But the Arab Spring has ended this charade, and the Arab people cannot believe that their struggle for democracy is a Jewish plot. It is only natural that revolutionary inquiry has lead to a reevaluation of dogmas regarding Israel.While some argue that it is unlikely that Israel and Libya will soon establish relations, these arguments are not convincing. Israel’s establishment of diplomatic relations with Arab countries in the past, most significantly Egypt and Jordan but also Libya’s neighbor Mauritania, was met with little to no uproar. Simply put, when Arab leaders end their anti-Israel demagoguery, their people become less hostile towards Israel. When freedom of inquiry flourishes, anti-Semitism diminishes.While public opinion has proven to be unproblematic in the past, it’s best not to wait for the Arab Spring to cool and for the Israeli- Palestinian conflict to again become the region’s hot topic. This requires the immediate creation of a “fact on the ground” while foreign relations are the least of the Libyan people’s concerns.Now that the media will no longer focus on the hunt for Gadaffi and the tense negotiations in the late dictator’s stronghold of Sirte, Israel and Libya can quietly exchange ambassadors.Israel would likely send an Arab-Israeli, such as Atlanta Deputy Consul Raslan Abu Rukun, to establish a rapport with the Libyan population.In addition, a suitable number of Arab-Israel doctors should be sent as a goodwill gesture.THE SITUATION also gives Israel an opportunity to reach out to other friendly Arab states. Qatar is a prime candidate given both its amicable relations with Israel and a desire to become the Arab world’s diplomatic kingmaker. Sensing an opportunity, Qatar spearheaded the campaign against Gadaffi knowing that a new regime would be indebted to the monarchy. Israel can enhance Qatar’s diplomatic presence while Qatar can use its influence in the Arab world to make Israel more appealing to Libya and its people.
For better or worse, Qatar has skewed Al Jazeera’s coverage to coincide with its foreign policy, and it has undoubtedly played a large role in the Arab Spring. It would be little trouble for Qatar to produce several programs faintly sympathetic to Israel and Jews, such as an expose on Libyan Jewry or a positive piece on the Arab-Israeli experience.Israel, on the other hand, can agree to Qatar’s longstanding request that it be given a primary role in Gaza’s redevelopment. That would indicate Israel’s recognition of Qatar’s preeminence in the Arab world. A large Qatari presence in Gaza would also serve Israel’s interests because it would overshadow any attempt by Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan to draw Hamas into his sphere of influence.With the end of Israeli-Turkish relations, and there’s no doubt about it – they’re over, Israel must reinvent Ben-Gurion’s vision of an alliance on the Muslim periphery. Libya is a prime contender.Moreover, Libya’s undeniable desire for European closeness instills in its government the same motivation of an earlier Turkey to seek relations with Israel, a sometimes difficult but undeniable component of the West.As changes continue to engulf the Arab world, Israel’s vacation from the spotlight is quickly coming to close. It’s time for a diplomatic victory, and nothing would be wiser right now than an investment in Libyan relations.The writer is a policy analyst at The Institute for Gulf Affairs.
